Heaviest Rain Will Miss Connecticut
By Steve MacLaughlin on May 8, 2012, 4:42pm
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The image above is the GFS weather model at 12z (8am) on Thursday. It depicts the surface conditions and forecast precipitation areas.
By this point we will have a cold front pushing to our east. This is the slow moving front that is bringing the rain tonight and Wednesday.
Notice the area of low pressure and the blue shading just to our southeast. This indicates to me that a batch of very heavy rain will just miss us early Thursday. I think we will see some steady rain in the morning, but the really heavy stuff should just miss or maybe clip Southeastern CT.
If the cold front moves out more slowly or that area of low pressure moves north more quickly, that bull's eye would actually push through NJ, NYC and CT and Thursday morning and bring one final round of very heavy rain before we dry out later on Thursday.
I will take a look at newer model runs tonight and Wednesday and show the update to see if the heavy stuff continues to miss us or if our models start to bring that heavy rain back in to CT on Thursday morning.
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