New Tropical System In Eastern Pacific

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By Noah Bergren on May 21, 2012, 5:40pm

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Another Tropical Depression forms in the Eastern Pacific and Could Make landfall in Eastern Mexico Later this Week.

The tropical season is getting off to a fast start in the Eastern Pacific basin with the most recent development of a new Tropical System TWO - E. 

The storm is currently near 500 miles South of Acapulco, Mexico, and is expected to track towards the NNW, gradually picking up some forward speed Tuesday. With some Weakining Wind Sheer in that area, and water temperatures in the middle 80's, TD2E is in a favorable region for further development.

TD 2-E Should become Tropical Storm Bud Monday Evening or Tuesday Morning.  Some Gradual Strengthening is likely through Wednesday, when it could develop into a Cat. 2, or Potentially a Cat. 3 Hurricane- which would be the first for the E. Pacific 2012 Hurricane Season.

By Wednesday Morning, a trough that is currently swinging into the Pacific NW Region of the U.S. will guide the storm on a more ENE Heading Later Wednesday.

Looking Ahead, the Exact track beyond Wednesday is still slightly uncertain, but currently on its projected path would take it on a course that would make landfall in Central Mexico on Friday. Keep in mind this is still 4+ Days in the future!

The Tropics are getting off to an Earlier than Usual start; both in the Pacific and Atlantic Basins! Check back here for updates or at the NHC Homepage throughout the week.

TS Bud's Projected Path & Wind Probabilities Map as of 5PM Monday:

 

Another Tropical Depression forms in the Eastern Pacific and Could Make landfall in Eastern Mexico Later this Week.

The tropical season is getting off to a fast start in the Eastern Pacific basin with the most recent development of a new Tropical System TWO - E. 

The storm is currently near 500 miles South of Acapulco, Mexico, and is expected to track towards the NNW, gradually picking up some forward speed Tuesday. With some Weakining Wind Sheer in that area, and water temperatures in the middle 80's, TD2E is in a favorable region for further development.

TD 2-E Should become Tropical Storm Bud Monday Evening or Tuesday Morning.  Some Gradual Strengthening is likely through Wednesday, when it could develop into a Cat. 2, or Potentially a Cat. 3 Hurricane- which would be the first for the E. Pacific 2012 Hurricane Season.

By Wednesday Morning, a trough that is currently swinging into the Pacific NW Region of the U.S. will guide the storm on a more ENE Heading Later Wednesday.

Looking Ahead, the Exact track beyond Wednesday is still slightly uncertain, but currently on its projected path would take it on a course that would make landfall in Central Mexico on Friday. Keep in mind this is still 4+ Days in the future!

The Tropics are getting off to an Earlier than Usual start; both in the Pacific and Atlantic Basins! Check back here for updates or at the NHC Homepage throughout the week.

TS Bud's Projected Path & Wind Probabilities Map as of 5PM Monday:

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Noah Bergren

Town: Berlin, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since February 2012.

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