Weekend Ending Messy!

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By Sam Kantrow on December 15, 2012, 10:59pm Last modified: December 16, 2012, 7:24pm

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Good evening everyone.  There is quite a bit of weather to talk about coming up...and thankfully the forecast models seem to be in better agreement about the upcoming series of storms that will be moving through over the next 3 days.  Here's the first bit of good news concerning this.  Temperatures at the ground are not expected to drop much more tonight, and we're barely at freezing for many of the inland locations that we initially had freezing rain concern about.  So what's going to happen?

Overnight tonight, we'll have a few bits of scattered rain and snow beginning.   I think that snow/rain will be very light regardless, and we won't see much accumulation.  As temps higher in the atmosphere begin to increase, we'll have temps around freezing right at the surface for some of the hilly towns.  As a result, the NWS has issues a freezing rain alert for Litchfield and Northern Fairfield Counties for tomorrow morning.  I think the potential definitely exists for freezing light rain around daybreak tomorrow, but because the latest models are trending a bit warmer, I don't think this will be a big deal.

Round #1 won't give us much in the way of accumulated rain or snow, and I would be very surprised if anywhere receives an inch of snow from this, and those locations will likely be at the higher elevations in the northwest hills.  By 9am tomorrow morning, most of the state below I-84 will be seeing light rain showers as the warm front starts lifting northward, and temps will continue to increase as the day tomorrow progresses.

After that, round #2 will be late Sunday night into Monday morning in the form of heavier rain statewide.  Thankfully, we'll be above freezing so we have no snow/freezing rain concerns with this.

We'll see a brief lull in the rain for Monday, and we'll be mostly dry then.  After that, an inside runner (low pressure center tracking to our west) will pass across the state, keeping us on the warmer side of more rain Monday night into the first half of the day Tuesday.  This will also be to warm to support snow.  We might see a few flurries at the end, but no accumulation is expected.

Things dry out for Wednesday and Thursday, before a front passes and we see more rain Thursday night into Friday morning.

 

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Sam Kantrow

Town: Hamden, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

Articles: 660

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