Detailed 6-Day Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on February 12, 2013, 10:45am Last modified: February 12, 2013, 8:40pm

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Technical Discussion:

Snow-melt continues as midday temperatures are pretty much in the lower 40's across the board. However, with 850mb temperatures around -7C, do not expect temperatures to rise much during the afternoon.
The next system approaches late in the day on Wednesday with possible light snow.
The storm does not look like a big deal at all. In fact, the model consensus forecast is not far off from the Euro, which has consistently showed little if any snowfall. With that said, there are still some ensemble members and the operational 12z NAM and 12z GFS that indicate a potential for accumulating snow across most of the state. Forecast will reflect 1-3" possible for the shoreline with less than 2" inland. This may even be generous, but leaves the door open for these models to be correct.
A couple of of weak upper level disturbances are likely before we may potentially see a shift back to more winter-like cold temperatures. The first disturbance keeps some clouds in the forecast for Friday and the next looks to be the beginning of the end to the seasonably mild temperatures.
Added possible flurries to the forecast on Saturday. Current data does not indicate a major storm, but a large-scale trough is likely to usher in colder air for Sunday into Sunday night.

Today: Sunshine and clouds, seasonably mild. Highs in the low to mid-40's.
Tonight: Partly cloudy skies. Areas of black ice. Lows in the 20's.
Wednesday: Light snow at night, especially near the coast. Lows in the mid to upper 20's.
---Possible snow accumulation: 1-3" southern CT and less than 2" inland.
Thursday: Early clouds give way to sunshine. Highs in the lower 40's.
Friday: Partly sunny skies and mild. Highs in the mid-40's.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with possible flurries. Highs in the mid to upper 30's.
Sunday: Clearing skies and chilly. Highs in the low to mid-30's.

Note: Inland temperatures are an average. Often times, outlying areas may be a few degrees cooler than the advertised temperature on the 6-day graphic.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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