Model Average Snow Forecast

4530 reads link

By Quincy Vagell on February 12, 2013, 3:50pm Last modified: February 13, 2013, 12:06pm

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse more stories.

Next Article
Snowfall forecast for Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

The computer models show a variety of solutions for tomorrow night, ranging from very little snow at all, to moderate accumulations. Here is the model average.
*Since the numbers are spread out, 2" for a county might actually mean a range of 1-3".

MAP UPDATED AT 9:30 P.M.
Added 21z SREF and 00z NAM.

MAP UPDATED AT 5:30 P.M.
Added 18z GFS.

MAP UPDATED AT 3:50 P.M.
Added 18z NAM and 15z SREF.

MAP UPDATED AT 2:45 P.M.
Added the 12z Euro and GEFS data.

MAP UPDATED AT 12:00 P.M.
The 12z GFS came in with a little bit more snow, so the totals have increased slightly. 


The map above is based on the 00z Euro, 06z GFS, 06z GEFS, 09z SREF and 12z NAM. Of all those models, the GFS was the driest, with as little as 0.2" of snowfall in NW CT, ranging to the 12z NAM, which brings 4-5" for SE potions of the state. The Euro is also on the dry side, with a fairly uniform 0.5" or so across the board. This map also assumes a 10:1 snow to liquid ratio, except 11:1 in Litchfield County.

More data is being reviewed and I will update this map throughout the day and post my own forecast sometime this afternoon or early in the evening.

Previous updates:




 

Interact with me via Facebook or Twitter for more detailed information and forecasts:

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse more stories.

Next Article

Share

comments powered by Disqus

Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

Articles: 1306

Quincy Vagell's Bio

Become a WXedge become a contributor

Let Your Voice Be Heard

Have a question? A comment? A complaint? Connecticut's Weather Experts are here for you. Our team is here to service your every need. Go ahead, let them have it.