Detailed 6-Day Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on February 13, 2013, 10:30am Last modified: February 13, 2013, 4:39pm

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Technical Discussion:

Low pressure develops over the mid-Atlantic region later today, passing well south of Long Island. The result will be an area of light snow and flurries that grazes the area. There are still some minor details to resolve, but most of the state should see some flakes. Right now, thinking 1-3" for southern CT and less than 1" further north. Some of the higher resolution models/ensemble members still want to back moderate snows further north into the area, so radar bears watching. It does not look like a major deal as the heaviest precipitation remains closer to the low center, south and southeast of LI.
The week ends of a milder note as 850mb temperatures slowly creep up towards -2C by Friday. The result is lower 40's on Thursday and mid-40's on Friday.
A large-scale trough reaches the east coast for the weekend. Moisture profiles on the models support flurries or snow showers on Saturday. Low pressure is still projected to rapidly intensify on Sunday, but all models show this happening well offshore, to the east.
Chilly air moves in for Sunday into the first part of Monday before a moderating trend is likely.

Today: Sunshine followed by late-day clouds. Highs around 40.
Tonight: Light snow on the coast, some flurries inland. Lows in the mid to upper 20's.
---Total snow accumulation: 1-3" southern CT and less than 1" northern CT.
Thursday: Early clouds give way to sunshine. Highs in the lower 40's.
Friday: Partly sunny skies and mild. Highs in the mid-40's.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with possible flurries. Highs in the upper 30's to around 40.
Sunday: Partly cloudy and chilly. Highs near 30 inland, lower 30's on the shore.
Monday: Mostly sunny skies. Highs in the mid to upper 30's.

Note: Inland temperatures are an average. Often times, outlying areas may be a few degrees cooler than the advertised temperature on the 6-day graphic.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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