Computer Model Average Snow Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on February 16, 2013, 7:30pm Last modified: February 16, 2013, 7:40pm

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Above image is a forecast based SOLELY on the computer model average.

Graphic includes 12z Euro, 15z SREF, 18z NAM/GFS/SREF. I also plugged in higher snow to liquid ratios, ranging from 11:1 in New London County to 14:1 in Litchfield County.

Model details:
12z Euro: 0.2" minimum to 3.1" maximum
15z SREF: 0.3" minimum to 4.4" maximum
18z NAM: 0.1" minimum to 3.9" maximum (corrected minimum value)
18z GFS: 0.2" minimum to 5.5" maximum
18z RGEM: 0.2" minimum to 3.2" maximum 

Based on this, the GFS shows the most, with the Euro/RGEM showing the least. Interestingly enough, I generally have the highest confidence in the Euro and RGEM.

Stay tuned as I will have my specific snow forecast later this evening.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Marlborough, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

Articles: 1305

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