Quincy's Final Snowfall Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on February 16, 2013, 8:50pm Last modified: February 16, 2013, 9:02pm

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As low pressure develops along the East Coast Saturday night, an area of snow is expected to pass through Connecticut. The heaviest snow will likely stay to our east.

Snow was already falling across parts of eastern Connecticut as of 8:45 p.m. Periods of light to occasionally moderate snow will continue for much of the evening, east of I-91. Further to the west, only a few flurries are expected.

A band of heavy snow is forecast to form overnight, but I expect this band to impact Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts. The result is more than 3" in those areas, but only 1-3" for eastern Connecticut.

Any snow tapers off by daybreak, although a few flurries could linger through the morning across extreme eastern Connecticut.

Stay tuned to WXedge.com for the latest forecasts and discussions.

Click here to track the snow with live radar imagery.

I believe that all of the hype and forecasts for heavy snow and 5 or 6 inch amounts in Connecticut will simply not verify. I think that extreme eastern Connecticut could wind up with around 3", if everything goes just right. I do think that near-blizzard conditions could verify near the Rhode Island border, as winds are expected to increase overnight. Remember that heavy snow is not a requirement for official blizzard conditions. The latest mesoanalyses and radar/satellite imagery would lead me to believe that any organized area of heavy snow will have trouble coming much further northwest than perhaps New London County. This means Connecticut is just left with lighter snow.

This image might be hard to see, but it shows the 850mb frontogenesis analysis. The best values are south and east of Connecticut, which is where I expect bands of heavy snow to develop:

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Here's my previous forecast from last night:


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Quincy Vagell

Town: Marlborough, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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