Another Weekend-Another Complicated Forecast

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By Gil Simmons on February 21, 2013, 8:12am Last modified: February 22, 2013, 5:48am

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Well here we are again with another difficult weekend forecast to plan events. Snow is expected Saturday midday-afternoon with temperatures in the 30s. This will be a wet snow variety. Slush likely on roads in the afternoon.

The complicated part of this involves the changeover line from snow to rain first along the shoreline then working inland. The ECMWF model does change the snow over to rain and a mix for at least the shoreline and central Connecticut. Higher elevation areas north of a line from Waterbury to Hartford to Plainfield may stay snow and ice longer which will add up to more! 

The whole storm moves out from West to East Sunday Morning.

Here is a break-down of the different zones:

Models range from 3" in Northern Connecticut (GFS) to 6" to 10" for a large area of the state (NAM). I like the ECMWF that is kind of a blend. But still dumps 8" + near the Mass line at higher elevations. 

Stay tuned to this difficult forecast. Thanks for checking in on wxedge.com. You can also join me here on facebook and here on twitter. -Gil

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Gil Simmons

Town: New Haven, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

Articles: 628

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