Winds Direction Important This Weekend

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By Quincy Vagell on February 21, 2013, 5:15pm Last modified: February 22, 2013, 1:48pm

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A storm system develops along the mid-Atlantic coast on Saturday and moves towards the northeast, finally pulling away from the area on Sunday.

Saturday: During the daylight hours, a light wintry mix is expected, but with temperatures above freezing, accumulation of snow is not a concern in most areas.
Saturday night: Heavier precipitation moves in, with a wintry mix inland and mainly rain along the shoreline. The hills near the Massachusetts border may stay mostly snow/ice.
Sunday morning: Precipitation begins to taper off, but as colder air moves in, northern areas change back to snow. Even the shoreline could see a brief period of light snow.

-A light slushy accumulation of snow is possible across southern Connecticut.
-Moderate snow accumulations are expected in northern Connecticut, mainly in the hills. 

Despite a low tracking just southeast of Cape Cod, this isn't a typical setup where Connecticut sees mostly snow. In fact, with an upper level low to our northeast, the wind flow at the surface and above the ground stays generally east to southeast for most of the event, based on the model forecasts. This actually locks in warmer air, resulting in more of a wintry mix or rain. By the time the models really develop the coastal low, it's too far east to bring snow to the area. By that time, as cooling takes place, snow could fall over northern Rhode Island and parts of eastern Massachusetts. Most of Connecticut probably misses out on the heavy snow.

It should be noted that the latest model runs have actually trended slightly warmer.

Stay tuned as this forecast is still being fine-tuned. It will only take a slight change in temperatures to change precipitation types, but at this point, only the hills of northern Connecticut have a high probability of seeing significant amounts of snow. With that said, slushy accumulations are still possible throughout much of the state.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Marlborough, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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