4PM: Computer Model Snow Forecasts

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By Quincy Vagell on March 7, 2013, 4:00pm Last modified: March 8, 2013, 8:04am

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Probability forecast for more than 4" of snow tonight into Friday.

The computer models are indicating a strong potential of significant snows across portions of Connecticut tonight into the day on Friday. This article will give a quick overview of what some of the latest models are projecting. 

4PM Update: Model forecast AVERAGE snowfall from 7 p.m. tonight through Friday:
4-9" for all inland areas.
3-5" for the immediate shoreline.


18z NAM: 8-14" inland and 4-8" along the immediate shoreline.

15z SREF: 5-9" across the entire state with the higher totals near the Mass. border.

12z GFS: 3-6" inland and 2-4" along the immediate shoreline.

12z GFS ensembles: 3-5" with the higher totals near the Mass. border.

12z RGEM: 4-8" inland and 2-5" along the shoreline.

12z Euro: 4-7" across inland CT with 2-5" along the shoreline.

12z Euro ensembles: 5-10" inland and 4-7" along the immediate shoreline.

(various computer models)


The moderate now show less variability with snowfall amounts,
giving higher confidence to 4-8" inland and generally 3-5" near the shoreline.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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