Detailed 6-Day Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on March 20, 2013, 9:45am Last modified: March 20, 2013, 12:10pm

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Technical Discussion:
The area remains between the influence of low pressure centers to the north and south. The result is a mixture of sunshine and clouds, along with a breeze caused by the pressure gradient.
A period of flurries or snow showers is expected late tonight into Thursday. This is in response to low pressure passing well south of Cape Cod and an inverted trough feature that will back towards the area. Eastern parts of the state stand the highest risk of seeing some snow and light amounts of an inch or so are possible in spots.
Quiet conditions with slowly moderating temperatures are expected into the weekend. Even with the gradual climb, high temperatures are forecast to be in the mid-40's on Sunday, which is still about five degrees below average for this time of the year.
A storm is then expected to develop off the mid-Atlantic coast on Monday. The Euro continues to be further south, keeping the area dry, while the GFS brings a period of snow into Connecticut. The Euro ensembles are slightly further north of the operational run and some of those members do bring snow into the area.
The current forecast reflects cloud-cover and a 50% risk of precipitation. Snow will be left out of the graphic until confidence increases. 
Throughout the period, have kept high temperatures below MOS guidance, leaning towards a blend of NAM/Euro 2-meter temps and 850mb to 2-meter temp approximations.

Today: Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the upper 30's to lower 40's.
Tonight: Increasing clouds. Stray flurries possible. Lows in the mid-20's to around 30.
Thursday: Scattered snow showers, chilly. Highs in the mid to upper 30's.
---Potential light snow accumulation across eastern Connecticut.
Friday: A mix of sunshine and clouds. Highs in the lower 40's.
Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. Highs in the low to mid-40's.
Sunday: Fair skies. Highs in the mid-40's.
Monday: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the low to mid-40's.

Note: Inland temperatures are an average. Often times, outlying areas may be a few degrees cooler than the advertised temperature on the 6-day graphic.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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