How Close Will the Snow Get?

1935 reads link

By Quincy Vagell on March 24, 2013, 9:20pm Last modified: March 25, 2013, 2:48pm

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse more stories.

Next Article

There's been a lot of talk about a storm with potentially more snow on Monday...

The computer models are in pretty good agreement now with keeping this storm at least 100 miles south of Long Island. With that said, the northern fringe of precipitation may still reach back into Connecticut.

Above left:
The 18z NAM computer model shows moderate to heavy precipitation brushing New Jersey and Long Island, while Connecticut (just barely) misses out.

Above right:
The 12z hi-res Canadian (RGEM) model shows a deep low pressure center south of Long Island. Some bands of wet snow are projected by this model to move into Connecticut.

Forecast:
Periods of wet snow or even some cold rain are likely throughout much of the day on Monday near the shoreline. Further inland, only a few bands of light snow, flurries or drizzle may make it that far north.
Snowfall accumulations should generally be less than 1", although a few spots across southern Connecticut could perhaps pick up 2" worth of slushy accumulation if some of the heavier bands of snow can make it that far north.

The other issue is that although temperatures should be plenty cold in the atmosphere for snow, given the time of the year and lack of dynamic cooling, temperatures near the ground should generally hold between about 35 and 40 degrees during the bulk of the precipitation. This will make it hard for any snow to accumulate.

The image below shows the 9 p.m. Sunday observations, courtesy: WPC. Notice that heavier precipitation caused temperatures to fall to near freezing across parts of Virginia and Maryland. At the same time, eastern Pennsylvania had some stations in the low to mid-40's. Without heavy precipitation expected across Connecticut, don't expect to see daytime temperatures near freezing on Monday.

Stay tuned to WXedge.com for the latest technical weather discussions.

Interact with me via Facebook or Twitter for more detailed information and forecasts:

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse more stories.

Next Article

Share

comments powered by Disqus

Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

Articles: 1306

Quincy Vagell's Bio

Become a WXedge become a contributor

Let Your Voice Be Heard

Have a question? A comment? A complaint? Connecticut's Weather Experts are here for you. Our team is here to service your every need. Go ahead, let them have it.