Detailed 6-Day Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on June 27, 2013, 9:45am Last modified: June 27, 2013, 11:42am

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Technical Discussion:
A quasi-stationary front draped across southern New England will result in scattered showers and areas of fog throughout the day. Morning satellite imagery showed a shield of clouds locked in, but that western parts of Connecticut may see some breaks in the action. The result will be a variety of temperatures, ranging from the 70's in coastal and eastern parts of the state with some 80's possible across western sections. The severe threat is mitigated by poor lapse rates and limited instability, although a few thundershowers are still possible late in the day. The highest probability of this will be near the New York border.
A period of heavier rain is expected tonight into early Friday. As low pressure rotates across Pennsylvania, a slug of rain is likely to move into parts of Connecticut. The frontal boundary lifts north, allowing for moisture to flood in. There is some question as to how far east the heaviest rain will go, but either way some soaking rains are likely for most areas overnight. Rain tapers to scattered showers by daybreak Friday.
Some sun returns on Friday along with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low pressure is forecast to slowly drift northeastward and as it does, some drier air advects into southern New England during the day on Friday. Some modest instability could lead to a few thunderstorms, but as the theme has been recently, no widespread severe weather is anticipated. Climo would also suggest that a southeast flow is not ideal for thunderstorm development. High temperatures should be a few degrees warmer than today.
The weekend continues to have a threat of scattered showers and thunderstorms. With increased wind shear and daytime heating on Saturday, there is a potential for an isolated severe thunderstorm threat. The best dynamics appear to shift northward, closer to the low pressure system, but the threat will still be monitored. The main deal is that scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will move across the area throughout the weekend. It will not be a complete washout, but a few locations could pick up locally heavy rainfall.
The unsettled pattern is forecast to continue into early next week. Forecast specifics are not completely clear, but with a southerly flow and moisture in the vicinity, at least a threat of showers and thunderstorms remains in the forecast for Monday and Tuesday. 

Today: Showers fog. PM T-storm? Highs ranging from the 70's to near 80.
Tonight: Rain, heavy at times. Possible t-storms. Lows in the mid to upper 60's.
Friday: A few showers and t-storms. Highs in the upper 70's to lower 80's.
Saturday: Scattered showers & t-storms. Highs in the low to mid-80's inland, near 80 shore.
Sunday: Scattered showers & t-storms. Highs in the low to mid-80's inland, near 80 shore.
Monday: Shower and t-storm threat continues. Highs in the mid-70's to lower 80's.
Tuesday: A possible shower or t-storm. Highs in the mid-80's inland, around 80 shore.

Note: Inland temperatures are an average. Often times, outlying areas may be a few degrees cooler than the advertised temperature on the 6-day graphic.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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