Detailed 6-Day Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on July 2, 2013, 9:20am Last modified: July 2, 2013, 11:24am

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Technical Discussion:
A frontal boundary remains nearly stationary along the Appalachians. The surface setup is similar to yesterday, although there are some mid and upper level differences. A moist southerly flow will continue to work as a conveyor belt for moisture and scattered showers/thunderstorms. Wind shear is modest, but not as high as yesterday. Upper level wind speeds are also decreased from Monday. With that said, there is still a marginal risk for isolated damaging wind gusts and weak, but short-lived tornadoes. This threat will be monitored throughout the morning. As far as temperatures go, expecting similar to readings to yesterday and if anything just a degree or two higher.
A shower or thunderstorm threat lingers into the day on Wednesday. Clouds break for some sunshine, but given the proximity of an upper level trough and surface frontal boundary, at least some convection is anticipated. High temperatures should rise a few degrees given some additional daytime heating.
Very warm conditions with more sunshine are expected to finish the week. The July 4th holiday looks mostly dry with just a slight risk of a late-day shower or thunderstorm. Highs should rebound well into the 80's with some inland valley locations making a run at lower 90's. Friday looks to essentially be a copy of Thursday.
Heat and humidity are forecast for the upcoming weekend. High pressure over the Atlantic is modeled to slowly retrograde towards the WSW. This will shift the surface wind around to the west, which when combining with 850mb temperatures around +17 to +18C will yield highs in the mid-80's to lower 90's. A shortwave may bring a round of showers and thunderstorms Saturday night before things clear out for Sunday.

Today: Scattered showers and t-storms. Highs near 80 inland, mid to upper 70's shore.
Tonight: A few showers with areas of fog, muggy. Lows around 70.
Wednesday: Clouds and sun. Shower or t-storm? Highs in the low to mid-80's.
Thursday: Very warm and humid. Highs in the upper 80's to near 90 inland, mid-80's shore.
Friday: Partly sunny, hot and humid. Highs around 90 inland, mid-80's shore.
Saturday: Hot and humid. PM t-storms. Highs near 90 inland, mid to upper 80's shore.
Sunday: Hazy, hot and humid. Highs in the lower 90's inland, upper 80's shore.

Note: Inland temperatures are an average. Often times, outlying areas may be a few degrees cooler than the advertised temperature on the 6-day graphic.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Marlborough, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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