Quick Analysis of Saturday Storm Threat
By Quincy Vagell on August 11, 2012, 11:33am
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Some ingredients are coming together for additional storms today.
Although a widespread severe outbreak is not expected, the setup does support some strong to locally severe thunderstorms across Connecticut.
Although a cold front is still 100-150 miles west of Connecticut, storms are already starting to fire along a boundary zone. This zone can be seen above and is fairly evident on radar. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are being triggered here.
Additionally, as the cold front does shift eastward, this can also provide more lift for thunderstorm development.
CAPE values suggest some moderate instability, especially across southern CT:
Wind shear is not quite as high as it was yesterday, but this could still support some storms with strong and potentially damaging winds:
Precipitable water values are also moderate, so heavy rain and isolated flash flooding can be possible in the strongest storms:
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