Potential Storm: Monday PM Update

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By Quincy Vagell on October 22, 2012, 5:00pm Last modified: October 23, 2012, 4:26pm

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The latest forecasts have a wide range of solutions, but still show a major storm.

Overview:
To clear up confusion and set the record straight, a few things need to be outlined.

The potential storm is still many days away and may impact the area in the Sunday, October 28th to Wednesday, October 31st time-frame. 
This means that there is plenty of time to track the ever-changing forecasts and to prepare, if necessary. 

The forecast is by NO means set in stone.

Latest forecasts:
The trend has shifted the storm a bit further east, with some solutions out to sea, but others bringing a massive storm directly into southern New England. Details will change, but the potential still exists for a major to possibly historic storm impacting a portion of
the East Coast in about a week's time.

Technical model discussion:
The GFS took perhaps the most significant shift, by turning a tropical system/hurricane due east and well out to sea. The cause is in part a lack of interaction with an incoming trough, and a storm that gets "tugged" eastward by a large ocean low in the northern
Atlantic.
The ECMWF, which showed a historic storm blasting into the mid-Atlantic region last night, now show's an even more unbelievably severe storm passing further east, more slowly, but moving into southeastern New England.
Many of the other models at this point show a major storm impacting the East Coast or coming close, but the details are unresolved...

***There is no immediate threat and there plenty of time for things to change.

Continue on to see some of the latest forecasts and images.

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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