Saturday Update: Potential Nor'easter

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By Quincy Vagell on November 3, 2012, 4:00pm Last modified: November 4, 2012, 8:26am

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12z ECMWF forecast for Thursday morning.

There is growing confidence in a potential major coastal storm next week.

At this time, it appears that the possible system could impact the area on Wednesday and Thursday. Some inland areas could see snow, especially the higher terrain, but the biggest concern at this point is strong winds and coastal flooding.

Overview:
An area of low pressure will likely develop off of the Carolina coast. As the storm moves northward, it is expected to intensify into a strong nor'easter. Although the storm could be significant,
***It MUST be stressed that it will be NOT as bad as Sandy.*** 
However, there could be impacts for both coastal and inland communities.

Potential impacts:
Heavy rain and strong winds are possible and if the nor'easter does track along the coast, a strong easterly wind could cause moderate to major coastal flooding. With areas along the coastline already hit hard last week, any kind of storm could prove problematic.
The other aspect of this storm would be cold air and areas along the Appalachians, including the Poconos, Catskills and Berkshires could see an early season snow storm. Although there could be some snow in Connecticut, heavy snow is not likely. Any snow would likely be confined to the inland higher terrain and especially at the beginning of the storm.

Summary:
*A significant nor'easter could impact the area next Wednesday and/or Thursday. 
*Biggest concern is for gusty winds and coastal flooding.
*Heavy rain is possible and some inland areas could see snow
*This storm will NOT be as severe as Sandy 

Advance to the next slide for a more technical discussion
Check out the latest computer model forecasts
Read Sam Kantrow's morning update on the potential nor'easter

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Marlborough, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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