Snow Looks Likely, but How Much?

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By Quincy Vagell on November 24, 2012, 7:35pm Last modified: November 25, 2012, 1:56pm

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A possible scenario if the new data from Sunday morning is correct.

***The above image is NOT a forecast, but is a possible outcome of the storm***

Let's cut right to the chase.
A storm is expected to pass near or south of Connecticut during the second half of Tuesday and the system may linger into early Wednesday. There will be snow on the northwest side of the storm and the exact track of low pressure will determine how much snow we get.
At this point, snow is looking likely, but there is not high enough confidence just yet to give an exact snowfall forecast. Things can and will likely change, as this is what generally happens with three (3) to four (4) day forecasts. Click HERE to skip ahead to my forecast.

The computer models had been all over the place with this storm, but now there seems to be a better consensus. The GFS and ECMWF (Euro) both show light to moderate amounts of snow falling across Connecticut later Tuesday and into early Wednesday. However, the latest 18z run of the GFS, for what it's worth, has cut down on snowfall amounts. Also, the Euro had previously shown lower snowfall totals, so it will be key to see how consistent the models are for the balance of the weekend. We are now getting into the range of the NAM and that model paints an even more different scenario...

Continue the slideshow for further discussion on the possible storm impacts.

 

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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