Quincy's Snowfall Forecast

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By Quincy Vagell on December 26, 2012, 2:15pm Last modified: December 27, 2012, 8:10am

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Snow should reach extreme southwestern Connecticut by 3 p.m. Snow will overspread the state from SW to NE, reaching Windham County between about 5 and 7 p,m. In addition to the snow, expect gusty winds, with the strongest gusts along the shoreline.

The entire state is expected to start as snow, and as the precipitation moves in, it will start to come down rather quickly. With temperatures in the lower 30's even on the shoreline, all surfaces can become snowcovered.
Evening commute travel issues are possible across Fairfield & New Haven counties.
The snow will move northeastward and at the same time, warmer air will slowly advance northward. This will cause the immediate shoreline to change to a wintry mix and then rain this evening.
Although northern Connecticut should stay mainly snow through midnight, the rain/mix/snow line will move northward. After midnight, most areas are expected to change to ice and then plain rain.
It is possible that extreme northern Litchfield County may never rise above freezing, causing most or all of the precipitation to fall in the form of snow and ice.

Snowfall totals:
5 to 10 inches across northwestern Connecticut and the northeast hills.
2 to 5 inches down to approximately the I-95 corridor.
2 inches or less along the immediate shoreline from Bridgeport eastward. 

The heaviest of the precipitation should be over by the predawn hours. As we move into Thursday morning (rush hour), scattered light rain showers are possible, with perhaps some mixed precipitation in the northwest hills.

Notes:
The snowfall forecast is a bit tricky, especially closer to the coastline. A burst of moderate to heavy snow can drop 1-3" of snow in a relatively short period of time. Temperatures will be monitored very closely to see how precipitation stays as all snow.
Because of this, the confidence is put at 70%. It's still a high confidence forecast, but given a some uncertainty with the exact temperature profile, there is room for some error.

Stay tuned to WXedge.com for the latest forecast information.
Follow me on Twitter & Facebook for more frequent updates:

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Naugatuck, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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